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In this situation, we are dealing with intersecting transaction that, in effect, sets the stage for an escalation of the conflict. Example Transaction the second kind: (Stimulus) Lender: smooth, businesslike voice of the ego-state "adult" asks: "Do you delay the next payment on the loan …. Tell me, IE when you make your redemption of the outstanding debt? "(Reaction) Debtor: smooth, businesslike voice of the ego-states "adults", says: "I know about the debt and be able to extinguish it (date) in full" This type of transaction is called a parallel. In a parallel transaction reaction naturally complements the stimulus and does not lead to a conflict situation. This is a constructive dialogue. The third type is called the hidden transactions. This type of interaction is characterized by chtochelovek says one, but has in mind something quite different. In this case, spoken words, tone of voice, facial expressions, gestures and attitudes are often incompatible with each other.
Hidden transactions are fertile ground for the development of psychological games. Game is a series of consecutive complementary hidden transactions, leading to a well-defined predictable outcome. In other words, a set of recurring transactions, seemingly plausible, with a disguised motivation. The game is characterized by two important features: 1) ulterior motives and 2) the presence of 'win', for which the game is. In other words, the debtor is always a positive goal, which he achieves, even hanging over the unsustainable debt burden, which by the looks not quite rational. Interestingly, these ulterior motives and often hidden from the debtor.
Bald trait is normal. Market catch can at any time. To catch the bottom of this hopeless exercise (in the present circumstances), but there's always the good old BUT! Here's a picture of Euro-yen to illustrate the passage of all target levels. The situation is reminiscent of the collapse of the pound in the year 1992m. Free fall in its purest form. Dollar-yen updated March bottoms and on the way to 80 yenam, at first glance. And on the second and third. And the euro-yen is very bearish.
But this is the trick lies. Suppose the dollar to 80 popret yenam – on the vacuum – then even more can fly. In the area of 50-60 yen. What will happen to the Japanese, which is already almost 20 years, stands on the brink? Take the last step forward? The Japanese government is protectionist, and it is not secret. Especially when the rate begins to threaten the national safety. That I'm talking about the possible intervention of course. And at what levels they will start and will start if at all, contrary to logic? Yes dog knows.
So I say – sechas we must act very carefully – do not load the deposit on most do not. With a net evroy situation is similar. It just is not about intervention. All of this downward movement is not natural – not based on the foundation. A foundation is bad in America. If their intelligence, they would be high time to declare a default. And sooner or later it will end. The course is very easy to overcome fibu 38.2 at 1.3050. Sleduyuschayaya around 1.2150. It seems to me somewhere there on evru demand begins to emerge. And the tail for a week may be to 1.18/1.20. Evroy who traded at these levels that probably should remember what it's armor. Is to say that soon we can expect even more wonderful miracles, than now. Governments in many major economies, in connection with all this mess, putting themselves in serious financial commitment. Only that's not all of them survive when you have to be held accountable. Will include printing presses for the lovely soul. It follows from this simple fact – a (hyper) inflation. AND rates will have to raise, not lower. I think that 15-20% of the federal funds in future 1.5-2 years does not look fantastic. Here, at last, charts Dow Jones zolotishka. Dow, until, voiced in the previous review the range and will not be on it stop. With gold all the more interesting. Evaluate how spruzhinilo. Level 730 – preduschy historic peak. Closed at the 733 dollar / ounce. At the moment this is a serious supporting the closing prices of weeks. In the case of penetration let us move toward 640, and end this charade. Gold, it has historically been the measure of wealth, etc. and nowhere are its features are not lost. No wonder that gold reserves of surplus countries. In addition, gold, unlike stocks or kind of junk that may have a zero price, a priori, has no such chances. And in light of the prospects of general inflation, interest in gold as a hedging instrument of inflationary expectations, will only grow. 'Along cutoff, in the precipice, on the very edge of … ' (V. Vysotsky "Horses choosy ') By Alexei Bolotov Source